Page 14 - Logistics News June 2016
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logistics

           The trend-betters:

           stacking the odds

                                                    By Rick de Klerk

     I’m very fond of DHL’s
continued exploration and

   mapping of the logistics
   market, in part because
they’re a company whose
    eyes seem set firmly on

              Tomorrowland.

    The Trend Radar. Note
supergrid logistics at the

    top. Height represents
       distruptive potential

  while distance from the
  centre point represents

        the timeframe to be
                 implemented.

SO IT WAS with interest that I read their latest    while the rural logistics network decays.
report, the Trend Radar for 2016. It’s interesting      Essentially, these cities – independent of the
to see the placement of the various trends
in terms of their disruptive potential and the      nations that host them – will continue to invest
timeframe in which they’re likely to occur.         in their own local development, absorbing both
                                                    people and income from the national economy.
    There was one, however, that caught my
eye: supergrid logistics. The description was           So, is the report reading the future? Another
both nebulous and airy given its supposed           Trend Radar from 2014 states, “In 2013, decision-
disruptive potential (second only to unmanned       makers and opinion leaders agreed that the
aerial vehicles). Supergrid logistics, they argue,  concept of a Logistics Supergrid and related
is a combination of two factors – the growth        topics such as Logistics-as-a-Service, Supply
of interconnected and highly efficient logistic     Chain on Demand, and Logistics Marketplaces
channels and hubs that span globally and            had the potential to become business operating
the concentration of logistic ICT services into     models of the future.”
centralised platforms for better management and
co-ordination between parties.                          If this wasn’t a trend, it is now, because
                                                    the report originators seem convinced of its
    It appears the origin of the term was from a    inevitability and aren’t content to wait to find
2012 report, Delivering Tomorrow: Logistics 2050.   out if they’re right.
This report is an intriguing work of science-
fiction that can be read as manifesto, with its          All this might seem like a criticism of the idea
authors working hard to remove the unprofitable      of supergrid logistics. It’s not. Rather, my point
‘fiction’ part. Presenting five possible scenarios    is that ‘trends’ do not necessarily represent
based on feedback, the second scenario could        organically developing best practices or a
be considered the most optimistic: one that sees    growing industry standard – rather, it’s often
the concentration of logistic capabilities into     the concerted effort of companies to shape the
megacities whose reach becomes transnational,       sector where they operate. •
serving as central hubs with hyper-efficient
transportation networks between and within them     Link to the full report can be found here:

                                                    http://www.dhl.com/en/about_us/logistics_

                                                    insights/dhl_trend_research/trendradar.html

12 June 2016 | Logistics News
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