Page 12 - Logistics News - June/July 2021
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                     new suppliers (62 percent), while 30 percent favour   business continuity management. In recent months,
                     moving their supply chains to countries closer to   many companies have found that their contingency
                     home.                                         plans were quickly overwhelmed by the rapid pace of
                                                                   the pandemic and changes in public health measures.
                        Therefore, the direction seems clear – and can   Repeatedly, it becomes apparent that contingency
                     certainly be described as a paradigm shift in the   plans need to be constantly updated and tested so
                     global economy.                               that they can be applied when needed. They must be
                                                                   cross-functional and integrated into a company’s risk
                     Supply chains put to the test                 management and strategic processes. COVID-19 also
                     Questions about climate protection and compliance   showed that organisations need to consider a broader
                     with human rights dominated the social discussion   range of scenarios to be prepared for future extreme
                     about supply chains before the pandemic; with the   business disruptions. Identifying and understanding
                     reputation of companies also receiving heightened   potential ‘black swan’ events will be our collective
                     focus. The coronavirus has now further increased the   challenge, but the central key to surviving such crises
                     existing pressure to rethink supply chains.   will be the ability of companies to respond quickly.


                        Already during lockdowns in 2020, companies   Scenario planning before the next crisis
                     around the world were affected by restrictions and   So how can a company protect itself against the next
                     had to temporarily close their operations. Assembly   crisis? Today, overall, medium- to large-sized African
                     line in the automotive industry had to shut down.   companies’ risk management is well positioned
                     Because of the plant closures, coronavirus presented   when it comes to traditional risks. However, these
                     global corporations with the major challenge of   companies could be better positioned when it comes
                     getting hundreds of supply links back on track.   to protecting increasingly important intangible
                     That was probably the most challenging task for   assets – something COVID-19 has taught us.
                     production planners in the first half of 2020.   Above all, transparency makes risks identifiable,
                     Concern about renewed restrictions is still on the   controllable, quantifiable and thus insurable –
                     forefront of many boards of African companies.  including the supplier-customer relationships.


                        To prepare for these developments, we see two   It is crucial to think ahead and consider how the
                     opposing trends in supply chain strategies. One is   business, the market, the customers and suppliers
                     nearshoring – moving production to a nearby country   could change in a given scenario. There is no way
                     or closer to the sales market. The other is partial   around scenario-based business continuity planning,
                     reshoring – attempting to shift production back to   which critically examines the company’s own
                     a country and associated suppliers. A small shift   set-up and the resilience of supply chains under
                     could have a big impact considering that Africa, for   different scenarios. Potential business impact must
                     example, imported goods worth as much as US$560   be understood, action plans should be in place and
                     billion in 2019.  Whichever direction it ultimately   tested before the next crisis knocks on the door.
                     takes for African companies, the increased resilience
                     of supply chains is to be welcomed. Not only does   More than ever therefore, it is crucial to have an
                     it help with insurability of risks, but it also helps to   in-depth risk dialogue between the insurer and the
              L O GI S T I CS NEWS  Rethinking the contingency plans  the area of loss prevention – from the evaluation of
                                                                   insured and to be aware of the services provided in
                     respond quickly to market trends.
                                                                   relevant information, using it for failure analyses, to
                                                                   the implementation of a targeted risk management
                     Without a doubt, the pandemic has brought more
                                                                   strategy.  •
                     focus to supply chains and a company’s overall


           10       JUNE/JULY 2021                                                       www .l o g ist i csn e w s .c o .z a
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