Page 8 - Logistics News Oct Nov 2020
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Thought Leadership





























            management and workers, business systems and       planet. Talk of a situation where demand out-strips
            short-term strategies, and supply chain operations   supply and you have a perfect recipe in the making,
            to quickly adapt to the new game and make the      and it is called gold. Gold certainly emerged from
            sudden and necessary shifts determined who were    the COVID-19 crisis as a winner and will be for the
            the winners and who were the losers. Ultimately,   decade to come.
            the business winners during the COVID-19 crisis       Multinational CEOs also discovered that supply
            were simply those who adapted and changed          chain partnerships and collaboration mattered
            according to the new global rules of the game the   more than they might have realised during
            fastest.                                           these times of crisis. One of my close friends,
               Supply chain directors and CEOs of              a CEO of one of the world’s leading diamond
            multinationals with a global footprint soon        companies, was faced with a twin-pronged
            discovered that the practical day-to-day realities   supply chain challenge: real upstream diamond
            of globalised supply chains do matter and cannot   supply challenges on the one side, and then
            be taken for granted. Integration and mixing and   countless stores which closed down in Europe
            matching demand with supply became harder to       and other parts of the world on the end-customer
            manage, especially for gold coin and bar dealers   side. A ‘double-whammy’ which required smart
            who simply ran out of stock overnight, as mine     manoeuvring and management on both ends of
            after mine was closed in South Africa and across   the supply chain simultaneously – which stretches
            the globe. The journey of gold from the mine       the supply chain skills and dexterity of even
            to the vault became a complex labyrinth – and      the smartest and most skilled of supply chain
            somewhere between the mine and the end-            managers and CEOs.
            customer, gold got lost in the maze of movements.     Although traditionally many diamond buyers
            The ripple effect of supply was felt right across   like to do so in-store, they noticed that due
            the gold supply chain from mining to production,   to global COVID-19 travel restrictions, online
            to slag supply of gold bars ready for refining, to   spending on jewellery from reputable suppliers
            transport and delivery of finished goods bars and   in particular actually increased. So whilst in-store
            coins from global mints to downstream dealers      sales shrank, online sales flourished. The realities
            and traders, to out-of-stock situations for end-   of matching the online demand with steady
            customers. Those ‘out-of-stock’ online postings    supplies from the diamond mine accentuated the
            on countless websites across the globe were now    complex diamond domino effect and also created
            starting to impact the end-customer. And the       a temporary bullwhip, making the concertina
            demand dilemma made gold skyrocket towards         effect of significant supply chain vibrations harder
            $2,000 per ounce, up from $1,500 an ounce at       to manage – as online orders pulled the whole
            the start of 2020. The major precious metals       supply chain, creating vacillations and spikes and
            shift in gold, as smart investors moved to gold    troughs that were not easy to manage. All supply
            as a safe haven during a crisis, accentuated just   chains, from farms to factories, from grocery
            how little gold supply there really is in the world   stores to luxury stores, from hospitals to airlines,
            from a supply chain point of view – only four      were greatly impacted by the crisis, and had to
            Olympic swimming pools of gold held in total by    make quick adjustments just to survive and stay
            all individual investors combined with sovereign   profitable. Some were winners, and some were
            wealth and federal reserve funds across the whole   losers. •


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